Research

Working Papers

Donkey business: trade, resource exploitation, and crime (with Lucas Corrêa-Dias) Revised and resubmitted to the Journal of the European Economic Association PDF

Great expectations: electoral accountability after economic shocks (with Iasmin Goes) Under review PDF

Resource boom, export composition, concentration, and sophistication: evidence from Brazilian local economies PDF

Publications and Accepted

How much is fiscal consolidation offset by increases in social safety net spending? Evidence from the 2011 Budget Control Act (with Tim Komarek and Kendall Stephenson) The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy 26:2 (2026), 751-762 Published Version WP Version

The consumption side of trade shocks: inequality dynamics and luxury imports (with Laura Heras-Recuero) Journal of Development Economics 179 (2026), 103663. Published Version VoxDev WP Version

Institutional changes, effective demand, and inequality: a structuralist model of secular stagnation (with Daniele Tavani). Forthcoming at Metroeconomica. Published Version WP Version

Trade liberalization and mortality rates: evidence of pro-cyclical mortality from Brazil (with Lucas Corrêa-Dias and Sammy Zahran), Health Economics 34:3 (2025), 392-414. Published Version WP Version

Functional distribution of income as a determinant of importing behavior: An empirical analysis (with Gilberto Tadeu Lima), Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 65 (2023), 393–405. Published Version WP Version Online Appendix

Selected Works in Progress

On the government growth (with Daniel Centurião)

Regional export composition and economic growth: the multi-regional Thirlwall’s Law

Short-Term Challenges of Long-Term Growth: Gendered Consequences of Infrastructure Projects in Brazil (with Débora Nunes)

Size matters: wealth accumulation and conflict in a Classical model (with Gilberto Tadeu Lima)

Tip Credit effects on employment, earnings, and establishments (with Sammy Zahran, David Mushinski, and Sayorn Chin)

Trade liberalization and income inequality: evidence from Brazil (with Sammy Zahran and Daniele Tavani)